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An Improved, Downscaled, Fine Model for Simulation of Daily Weather States
Alternative TitleAn Improved, Downscaled, Fine Model for Simulation of Daily Weather States
Jiang Zhihong1; Ding Yuguo1; Zheng Chunyu1; Chen Weilin1
2011
Source PublicationADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES
ISSN0256-1530
Volume28Issue:6Pages:1357-1366
AbstractIn this study, changes in daily weather states were treated as a complex Markov chain process, based on a continuous-time watershed model (soil water assessment tool, SWAT) developed by the Agricultural Research Service at the U. S. Department of Agriculture (USDA-ARS). A finer classification using total cloud amount for dry states was adopted, and dry days were classified into three states: clear, cloudy, and overcast (rain free). Multistate transition models for dry- and wet-day series were constructed to comprehensively downscale the simulation of regional daily climatic states. The results show that the finer, improved, downscaled model overcame the oversimplified treatment of a two-weather state model and is free of the shortcomings of a multistate model that neglects finer classification of dry days (i.e., finer classification was applied only to wet days). As a result, overall simulation of weather states based on the SWAT greatly improved, and the improvement in simulating daily temperature and radiation was especially significant.
Other AbstractIn this study, changes in daily weather states were treated as a complex Markov chain process, based on a continuous-time watershed model (soil water assessment tool, SWAT) developed by the Agricultural Research Service at the U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA-ARS). A finer classification using total cloud amount for dry states was adopted, and dry days were classified into three states: clear, cloudy, and overcast (rain free). Multistate transition models for dry- and wet-day series were constructed to comprehensively downscale the simulation of regional daily climatic states. The results show that the finer, improved, downscaled model overcame the oversimplified treatment of a two-weather state model and is free of the shortcomings of a multistate model that neglects finer classification of dry days (i.e., finer classification was applied only to wet days). As a result, overall simulation of weather states based on the SWAT greatly improved, and the improvement in simulating daily temperature and radiation was especially significant.
KeywordDAILY PRECIPITATION TEMPERATURE RAINFALL stochastic simulation daily weather state series Markov chain state vector
Indexed ByCSCD
Language英语
Funding Project[National Natural Science Foundation of China] ; [Natural Science Key Research of Jiangsu Province High Education] ; [Jiangsu Higher Education Institutions] ; [National Key Technologies Research and Development Program] ; [CMA Meteorological Special Science Foundation]
CSCD IDCSCD:4325079
Citation statistics
Cited Times:1[CSCD]   [CSCD Record]
Document Type期刊论文
Identifierhttp://ir.imr.ac.cn/handle/321006/157994
Collection中国科学院金属研究所
Affiliation1.南京大学
2.中国科学院金属研究所
Recommended Citation
GB/T 7714
Jiang Zhihong,Ding Yuguo,Zheng Chunyu,et al. An Improved, Downscaled, Fine Model for Simulation of Daily Weather States[J]. ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,2011,28(6):1357-1366.
APA Jiang Zhihong,Ding Yuguo,Zheng Chunyu,&Chen Weilin.(2011).An Improved, Downscaled, Fine Model for Simulation of Daily Weather States.ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES,28(6),1357-1366.
MLA Jiang Zhihong,et al."An Improved, Downscaled, Fine Model for Simulation of Daily Weather States".ADVANCES IN ATMOSPHERIC SCIENCES 28.6(2011):1357-1366.
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